Debt to GDP ratio

Debt by itself is not bad. There are valid reasons for debt. Among them is responding the economic crisis caused by various factors, war, depression, pandemics.

The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio underwent a dramatic change between 1940 and 1950, primarily due to World War II.

Here’s an approximate breakdown:

  • 1940: The debt-to-GDP ratio was around 43%. The national debt was approximately $43 billion, and the nominal GDP was around $102.9 billion.
  • 1945 (End of WWII): The ratio peaked at approximately 112% to 117.5%. The national debt had surged to about $251.43 billion to $259 billion.
  • 1950: The ratio had fallen to around 78.2% to 93.1%. The national debt was approximately $257 billion to $260 billion, while the nominal GDP was around $299.8 billion.

Sustained high debt leaves limited room to respond to such events without a financial crisis. Carrying high debt simply from routine spending or tax cuts is irresponsible.

The countries with the highest debt-to-GDP ratios can vary slightly depending on the source and the specific quarter or year of the data. However, based on recent available data (primarily reflecting late 2024 and early 2025 estimates), here’s a general overview of some of the countries with the highest government debt to GDP ratios:

Top Countries with High Debt-to-GDP Ratios:

  • Japan: Consistently ranks among the highest, with ratios often exceeding 230% and sometimes reaching over 250%. This is often attributed to persistent fiscal deficits and an aging population.
  • Sudan: Has also seen extremely high ratios, driven by prolonged conflict and significant economic challenges.Estimates for Sudan range from over 250% to over 340% depending on the source.
  • Greece: Despite efforts to reduce its debt, Greece typically remains high on the list, with ratios in the range of 140% to 160%.
  • Singapore: While a developed nation, Singapore has a high debt-to-GDP ratio (around 170-175%) due to its strategic policy of issuing domestic debt for financial market development.
  • Italy: Often features among the top countries with high debt, with ratios around 135-145%. This is influenced by sluggish economic growth and consistent government spending.
  • United States: The U.S. also has a high debt-to-GDP ratio, often in the range of 120-125%, reflecting years of deficit spending and responses to economic crises. Some projections for the ratio in 2033 is exceed 152%.
  • Bahrain: Shows high debt levels, with ratios around 120-140%, influenced by factors like oil price fluctuations.
  • France: Typically has a debt-to-GDP ratio over 110%.
  • Canada: Often sees a debt-to-GDP ratio above 100%.

One comment

  1. To me some debt can be for good like a mortgage, education, business. Other debt can be debatable like for a new car every 3 years, that trip to Disney the family just needs to take, large % of credit card debt.

    So, like individual debt the government has good and bad debt. After the pandemic we just kept on spending. Numerous programs we thought were temporary are now the basis for debate. Think of the angst of college grads who have realized debt relaxation is over. You can read about how lower credit scores have impacted many aspects of their lives.

    When interest on our national debt exceeds defense spending it should be a wake up call. Looks like Trump and DOGE have been the wake up call. Darned if I know what previous folks had plans to do.

    Good article that gives us good comparisons.

    Liked by 1 person

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