Claiming health care cost savings from health care reform. Why PPACA will not lower YOUR health care costs.

Medicare & Social Security Deficits Chart
Image via Wikipedia

Before, during and after the health care reform debate the President and his allies in Congress claimed that health care reform would lower health care costs. Many Americans assumed they were talking about measures that would lower their premiums and out-of-pocket costs. Many Americans were wrong.

However, in cases such as adding adult children to coverage, or mandating 100% coverage for preventive services and lifting underwriting rules, the directly affected individuals were right, but forgot that those changes raised premiums for all insured individuals.

The reality is that what the President was talking about was health costs for the federal government not you and me. Attempts at managing the cost curve within PPACA focuses on Medicare and Medicaid.

Following is a list of such measures contained in the law (prepared by Towers Watson consultants). Note that several measures likely result in cost shifting to the private sector. Also, note that “competition” among insurance companies is not the solution. More insurance companies in an area reduces each company´s ability to negotiate lower fees with health care providers because each carrier will have fewer members (patients) and therefore less leverage with doctors and hospitals.

Also, if you are among the seventy-million Americans in self-insured employer plans, there is less to benefit you within PPACA and more to raise your costs.

The ACO mentioned below is similar to the HMO concept that was roundly criticized for providing financial incentives to control costs, not that we do not need to change incentives in the system.

Read the duties and limitations on the Independent Payment Advisory Board and ask yourself, exactly what can it recommend to control costs?

Note the limitations on the much touted comparative effectiveness research for which employer plans and insurers are being charged.

Health care cost savings measures within PPACA.

  1. Create a Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMI) to test payment and delivery models while preserving or enhancing quality of care under Medicare, Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). The initial emphasis will be on populations with poor clinical outcomes and high spending, and on improving coordination, quality and efficiency. The secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) can expand these demonstration projects nationwide if the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) actuary determines they can reduce spending.
  2. Have Medicare recognize groups of providers and suppliers who meet certain quality criteria as accountable care organizations (ACOs). ACOs can share in cost savings they achieve for Medicare, even receiving bonuses if the savings are large enough. This program will also be available to pediatric medical groups under Medicaid.
  3. Test an alternative payment methodology for Medicare nationwide in a voluntary pilot program to incent providers to coordinate patient care across the continuum and to manage all care associated with a hospitalization.
  4. Similarly, create demonstration projects under Medicaid to pay bundled payments for episodes of care that include hospitalizations.
  5. Establish other programs to encourage providers and plans to provide more efficient care for certain chronically ill and high-risk Medicare and Medicaid populations.
  6. Establish an Independent Payment Advisory Board to submit proposals to reduce Medicare spending if projected growth rates in Medicare spending per beneficiary exceed target growth rates specified in the law. The board’s proposals take effect automatically unless Congress passes an alternative that achieves the same level of savings. But proposals cannot ration care, raise taxes or Part B premiums, or change benefits, eligibility or cost-sharing standards; and generally they cannot affect inpatient hospital and hospice care or diagnostic lab tests.
  7. Reduce Medicare payments to home health providers. More significantly, Medicare payments to all providers (except physicians, who are governed by different payment rules) will be adjusted by the percentage change in the 10-year moving average of annual private nonfarm business multifactor productivity. The Medicare trustees expect a 1.1% annual reduction. The phased-in adjustment varies by type of provider from 2010 through 2019, and will apply fully and equally thereafter.
  8. Reduce Medicare Advantage (MA) plan benchmarks for payment to roughly the cost of fee-for-service Medicare services — more for low-cost counties and less for high-cost counties. High-quality MA plans get a bonus in their benchmark, while rebates to plans bidding less than the benchmark are generally lowered and are further modified for plan quality and certain coding practices. Plans with low medical loss ratios must remit partial payments to Medicare, and plans with consistently low ratios will be barred entirely.
  9. Shorten the period for submitting Medicare claims.
  10. Physicians ordering durable medical equipment (DME) or home health services must be enrolled in Medicare, and face-to-face encounters with patients are required for such orders.
  11. Adjust Medicare hospital payments based on performance under a value-based purchasing program. These incentives will be funded from the base operating diagnostic-related group payments. The law also reduces payments to acute care hospitals whose rates of hospital-acquired conditions are in the top quartile and those with high readmission rates.
  12. Disproportionate share hospital payments will be reduced significantly, although hospitals dispensing significant amounts of uncompensated care will receive bonuses.
  13. Pay Medicare bonuses to physicians who report quality measures and impose penalties on those who do not.
  14. Reduce Medicare payments for magnetic resonance imaging and bone density tests and expand competitive bidding for DME.
  15. Create an annual wellness visit benefit for Medicare beneficiaries, and eliminate cost-sharing for certain preventive services recommended by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF). The law blocks payments for preventive services discouraged by the USPSTF, however, and restricts Medicare reimbursement for certain mental health services.
  16. Increase the Medicaid drug rebate (to governments from drug manufacturers) percentage for brand-name drugs.
  17. Require the disclosure of financial relationships between health entities, such as physicians, hospitals, pharmacists, and manufacturers of drugs and devices.
  18. Support comparative effectiveness research by establishing a nonprofit Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute to compare the clinical effectiveness of medical treatments. Findings from this research, however, cannot be used to deny coverage or be construed as a guideline.
  19. Award demonstration grants to states to develop alternatives to current medical tort litigation.
  20. Simplify health insurance administration by adopting a single set of operating rules for eligibility verification and claims status, electronic fund transfers and health care payments, health claims and similar processes.
  21. Increase the threshold for itemized deductions for unreimbursed medical expenses from 7.5% to 10% of adjusted gross income.
  22. Limit annual contributions to a flexible spending account for medical expenses to $2,500.
  23. Structure the new health insurance exchanges established by the states for the individual and small group markets to encourage competition among health plans based on price rather than on risk selection and benefit design. This will presumably occur through standardized plans negotiating lower prices from providers, new approaches to eliminate unnecessary utilization and reductions in administrative costs. The framework here, sometimes called managed competition, assumes participants will choose low-cost plans because their government subsidy (discussed below) is fixed. It also assumes competing insurers will cut costs and therefore lower prices.
  24. Impose a 40% excise tax on employer-sponsored health plans to the extent the value exceeds $10,200 for individuals and $27,500 for family coverage, as indexed, effective in 2018. The threshold amounts are somewhat higher for 55- to 64-year-old retirees, and for “high-risk” professions and firms with older workforces. The tax penalty is intended to motivate employers to encourage their employees to choose high-deductible-and-co-pay health plans, such as account-based health plans (ABHPs), perhaps with limited provider choice. These plans, in turn, will encourage participants to make more cost-effective choices of health care goods and services. Alternatively, health maintenance organizations might make a comeback.

So there you have it, this is how health care reform will control health care costs. In the quest to expand coverage and stop insurance companies from their “abuses and discrimination” (the administrations words, not mine) there is a list equally long that adds to health care costs. However, most significant is the fact that this law extends and encourages the notion that health care is not a personal responsibility and that more and more expenses are to be paid by someone else, which means the insurance company and for most Americans it means their employer and their fellow workers.

7 comments

  1. Here is what is being said about premiums .

    For the effect on health insurance premiums, the CBO referred[103]:15 to its November 2009 analysis[117] and stated that the effects would “probably be quite similar” to that earlier analysis. That analysis forecasted that by 2016: for the nongroup market comprising 17% of the market, premiums per person would increase by 10 to 13% but that over half of these insureds would receive subsidies which would decrease the premium paid to “well below” premiums charged under current law; for the small group market 13% of the market, premiums would be impacted 1 to −3% and −8 to −11% for those receiving subsidies; for the large group market comprising 70% of the market, premiums would be impacted 0 to −3%, with insureds under high premium plans subject to excise taxes being charged −9 to −12%. The analysis was affected by various factors including increased benefits particularly for the nongroup markets, more healthy insureds due to the mandate, administrative efficiencies related to the health exchanges, and insureds under high premium plans reducing benefits in response to the tax.[117]

    It isn’t the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act it is the insurance companies raising rates and capitalizing on the new bill .

    Like

  2. So are you saying that in 2014 when we start paying for The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) the money will not help the deficit or help bring down the cost of healthcare ? I think the plan can work . It makes sense to me if everyone who can pay into it does , we should have a better system . Then if we add the public option that will increase competition we will cost lower . The insurance companies say it is not fair that they have to compete with the federal government . I think the american people should not have to compete for healthcare .

    Like

    1. That is exactly what I (and others) am saying. The revenue was calculated over a ten year period and the additional expenses over seven and that is the only way it works on paper. There is nothing in the bill that will bring down the cost of health care, artificially holding premiums down for some people, but not the underlying cost of health care.

      The idea of competition is bogus because the way our system works an insurer must have sufficient volume in an area to have leverage with health care providers to negotiate the lowest prices. If that leverage is spread out among more insurers, the impact is less and costs are higher. A public option will not increase competition becasue it will simply dictate payments to providers shifting more costs to the private sector just as Medicare does and Medicare can’t control its own costs. On top of that think of the consequences of a public option, how will the savings be achieved? Every public system in the world is struggling with costs, none has solved the problem with the result of ever higher taxes, deficits or cutbacks in their programs.

      What the US has done is merely expanded the number of people within a still flawed system. Insurance companies are not the problem. Keep in mind that 70 million Americns are covered under employer self-funded plans and each of those plans struggle with costs with no premiums, or insurance company profit involved.

      Like

  3. The reality is that what the President was talking about was health costs for the federal government not you and me. Attempts at managing the cost curve within PPACA focuses on Medicare and Medicaid

    Aren’t we the federal government ?

    Like

    1. We are indeed, but when those savings are achieved largely by shfiting costs to the private sector or incresing taxes and fees on what we pay, there is hardly a gain for the taxpayer. In addition, a lot of the “savings” within Medicare were used to offset addition costs within Medicare like the improved drug benefit and more services at 100% coverage so the result was no net savings.

      Clearly there are some Americans who are benefiting by one provision or another of PPACA, but all those benefits are coming from higher costs for others.

      Like

      1. Isn’t that the way the system works ? Some pay for services they don’t directly benefit from .
        I pay property taxes but have no children in school .
        I don’t feel the benefits of a military like someone who has a company over seas . I remember some soda companies wanted us in Vietnam more then anyone .
        The more one makes the more one benefits from our society . There for the more one make the more responsibility they acquire .
        So there has to be a trade off .
        We pay for a national police force and they pay for healthcare . They get the better deal .

        Like

      2. Health care reform was presented as providing quality, affordable health care. Regardless of how you look at it either in total or individually the goal of affordability will not be met because nothing has been done to fundamentally change the cost drivers or the incentives built into the system.

        The basic structure of insurance is as you say, some benefit extensively and others not at all but pay premiums. That’s fine, but when the premiums continue to escalate beyond what is affordable the existence of the insurance becomes less and less valuable for all. Moving money around is not solving the problem. This is like continuously pumping air in a leaking tire, but not plugging the leak.

        Like

Leave a reply to rdquinn Cancel reply