Seems every time I write something or post on a site, people are off in many directions based in large part on (mostly) erroneous conclusions they reach.
Why is that?
Jumping to conclusions is a common cognitive bias that can lead to misunderstandings and misinterpretations. There are several factors that contribute to this tendency:
- Cognitive Biases:
- Confirmation bias: The tendency to seek out information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore information that contradicts them.
- Availability heuristic: The tendency to judge the likelihood of an event based on how easily examples come to mind.
- Representativeness heuristic: The tendency to categorize things based on how similar they are to a prototype.
- Emotional Factors:
- Anxiety and stress: When we are anxious or stressed, we may be more likely to jump to negative conclusions.
- Low self-esteem: People with low self-esteem may be more likely to assume that others are judging them negatively.
- Fear of the unknown: Uncertainty can trigger our brains to seek quick answers, even if they are inaccurate.
- Social Factors:
- Stereotyping: Making assumptions about people based on their group membership.
- Cultural differences: Different cultures have different ways of interpreting information and making decisions.
- Lack of Information:
- When we don’t have all the information, we may fill in the gaps with assumptions.
- Time Pressure:
- When we feel rushed, we may make quick decisions without fully considering the evidence.
It’s important to be aware of these factors and to try to slow down and consider all the information before jumping to conclusions. By doing so, we can avoid making mistakes and improve our decision-making.



This may be a hard truth for you to realize since you think you are so well informed: Sometimes Mr. Quinn, It’s best to look yourself in the mirror before making opinions about others.
LikeLike
not sure of your point, this is not about right or wrong, agreeing or not it is about reaching p a conclusion inconsistent with the information provided. For example, if a person dislikes candidate A and someone concludes that means he supports candidate B, that is jumping to a conclusion unsupported by anything.
LikeLike
It’s not necessarily a jump to conclude someone favors candidate B when they say they dislike candidate A. When there are 2 choices and you speak ill of one then it is only natural that you would favor the other or you would say “I don’t like either candidate”. That would make it clear. When you are writing or speaking to people who don’t know you, it is easy to give that erroneous idea.
In a case of many choices, a primary for example where there are maybe 10 or so candidates and you don’t like one, then I shouldn’t jump to say you favor any of the others. I wouldn’t have any way of knowing. I’m just using political choices as an example, it could be any topic.
LikeLike
I mean no disrespect by my comment. What I mean is different people have different real life experiences and situations. their judgments can be completely differ to you but right for them.
LikeLike
when you say every time you write something people are off in many directions based in large part on mostly erroneous conclusions they reach, it comes across as if you are the arbiter of what is or is not correct or accurate.
some issues are nuanced and folks have different perspectives based on life experiences or maybe just common sense–recently you have quoted people who say silly things about IRA RMD’s–life insurance– $ 1 million to retire–of course they are fun to read and get a good laugh but as I said in Part 1 of uninformed and lazy this happens all the time and in this political season both candidates have made promises that, in my opinion, they will never keep.
but how many informed and ambitious folks really believed you could have health insurance for $2,500 and keep your doctor–folks like you and I might not have fallen for that but millions did–what about forgiving $10,000 + in student loans benefited the economy–you and I knew it was a bribe but millions of smart and savvy informed thinkers fell for it hook, line, and sinker–you and I knew the President had major cognitive issues but many smart and informed thinkers told us not to believe our lying eyes as this guy has run circles around his staff.
So, yes we have many uninformed and lazy folks–they come in all sizes, shapes, and genders, but as we both know it is not restricted to finances–it permeates society and always has–the big difference is social media brings it right to people and everyone gets to respond with their opinion.
LikeLike